Showing posts with label dollar index. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dollar index. Show all posts

Trading with 5m Force strategy, Day 18

Today, Price tested both the daily pivot and weekly pivot. It was somewhat expected as there was multiple high impact news were scheduled to release. Initially in the morning today after Tokyo open, price started to move sideways.
Tokyo open
Figure 01: EURUSD 5m Chart. "Tokyo open"
?Actully on this sideways movement, price was slowly moving up towards the daily pivot line. Few bars before the London open price gave a valid long signal.
London Open
Figure 02: EURUSD 5m Chart. "London Open"

Today I decided not to open before London session open. I'll just watch what happens. Price nicely went up. Price bounced on the DR1 and started to fall back.
Figure 03: EURUSD, 5m chart.
Price nicely rallied down more than 35 pips. Then price on its downward movement, started to create higher lows. There a good long signal was being developed. I missed the former short signal. But I watched the long position to collect nice 15 pips slowly.
Figure 04: EURUSD 5m chart.
?Price was now approaching NY open. Before and after the NY open there was scheduled news release. That's why long position needed to be closed. I've marked the news and NY open time with vertical line.
?
"EUR minimum bid rate" was schedulede to release 15 minutes before the NY open.
EUR minimum bid rate
Figure 05: EURUSD 5m chart. "EUR minimum bid rate" news effect.

?Price sharply moved down. After the 5m news bar, price slow went down and started to make higher lows to give a long signal. As high impact news was coming, I refrained from entering any position. I'll trade these later. Now just watching.??
USD trade balance & Unemployment claims
Figure 06: EURUSD 5m Chart. "USD trade balance & Unemployment claims"
??Here I want to show some interesting thing. First the current issue. I shifted the vertical line 1 candle back to show the movement range after the release of news about USD trade balance and unemployment claims. Price initally showed a fake movement downwards more than 20 pips. Then price moved upwards more than 35 pips on the same candle. Second thing I want to show you is the news event before the NY open.Look that news event during it's release, produced a good sell signal by the force 5m system.

Now see the dollar index and where price moved afterwards.?
Dollar index
Figure 07: Dollar Index, 5m chart

Figure 08: EURUSD 5m chart. News after effect.
At the weekly pivot and DS2, price made double top. From there price is now moving sideways.


Trading with 5m Force strategy, Day 17

Before going into any details, I would like to let you know that, I'm not going to trade today. I'll do some tasks at home. Just came to show you what happened today.

Let's see what happened at Tokyo open today.?
Tokyo open
Figure 01: EURUSD 5m chart. "Tokyo open"
?Before the Tokyo open price was immediately above the daily pivot. Just after the Tokyo open price started to move upwards. Solid 15 pips were there.

Nest we'll see three good trade opportunity today. At 12:00 pm (+6 GMT) an inverted hammer formed. It was good indication of a downward price movement. Because it was nicely aligned with other indicators also.?
Inverted hammer & hammer
Figure 02: EURUSD 5m chart. "Inverted hammer & hammer"
?From there price moved downwards to reach Daily pivot at around 15 pips distance. On the way price moved sideways for 10-12 candle. There was no significant news was there. So another 15 pips here. Price reached at the daily pivot just at the London open. Price bounced there and again

After the bounce from the daily pivot on London opent, price formed another inverted hammer. Price again started to go south and this time for 30 pips with breaking the daily pivot line. At the end of the journey price formed a hammer. Price now started to move north towards the daily pivot. Here also 15 pips was there. Overall  >100 pips today. Missed a good day.??
Dollar Index
Figure 03: Dollar Index, Hidden bullish divergence
??See the relation among the EURUSD price movement and dollar index. Monitoring dollar index can help trading profitably.

Today a high impact news was scheduled to release just after the open of NY open. It was ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. See the impact of this news.?
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Figure 04: EURUSD 5m chart.
As the news went in favor of Dollar, price moved down. Price crossed the DS1. Price continued to move downwards for >60 pips until the NY session closed.

Now I'm just observing price action and studying fx.